#比特币价格走势 Weekly RSI drops to 35. The last time it was at this level was in January 2023 when BTC was only 15,500-17,000. Now the price is already at 80,500, which in itself explains a lot.

Honestly, looking at this set of data, there is indeed a basis for a rebound—being oversold to this extent, the technical rebound probability is quite high. But the key is the magnitude and sustainability of the rebound, which are the core factors in deciding whether to follow and enter.

Currently, I am mainly focusing on traders who have maintained rational position sizing during this decline. How they set stop-losses, how they look for rebound opportunities in a downtrend—these details are more valuable than simple directional judgments. Especially those accounts with large holdings but already deep unrealized losses, their subsequent operations tend to be very extreme—either aggressively adding positions to average down or decisively cutting losses to adjust. In these two extremes, the strategy for following trades is completely different.

The target for the rebound is around $106,000, which also aligns with the technical correction logic. But I don’t recommend going all-in directly. Consider a light position to test the waters, set strict stop-loss levels, and observe the true intentions of the main players. Sometimes a rebound is just the last gasp of a dying strength; other times, it’s the real bottom confirmation—only practice will reveal the truth.