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The annual line for 2025 has just closed, and the pattern changes in the crypto market are beginning to emerge. On one side, Bitcoin is under pressure, while on the other side, Ethereum hides opportunities — market divergence has become a reality.
Bitcoin’s performance on the annual line this cycle is worth noting. A long upper shadow with a closing down candle indicates that the high point of 2025 is a temporary top, and selling pressure above has reached its limit. From the perspective of 2026, Bitcoin’s trend is likely entering a correction cycle for the gains since 2023 — this is not pessimism, but a normal market rhythm. During the correction cycle, any rebound could be an opportunity to exit; don’t expect to make big money at this stage, just preserving the principal is already half the success.
There are several technical levels that must be clearly marked: the MA5 support on the annual line is at $65,600, the 2024 bull market peak is at $69,000, and the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the long bullish candle in 2024 is at $67,900. These three supports overlap to form a strong support zone, and short-term fluctuations are unlikely to break through. But remember, strong support does not mean it cannot be broken — once this zone is effectively breached, the subsequent downside space will open.
For Ethereum, the monthly chart’s technical structure provides signals for smart traders. The key now is to make the right choices amid market divergence, rather than blindly chasing highs or panicking to cut losses.