2026-01-02 18:20:56

The recent surge of Ethereum to 3008 saw many chasing long positions at the 3000 level, only to be caught in a sharp decline. Looking at the candlestick chart now, the mood is indeed not very good.

Having been immersed in this market for many years, I want to be straightforward: this rally to 3008 was a carefully orchestrated trap. The big players have already laid out a web above, waiting for retail investors to take the bait. Today, I’ll say this—3008 is not a signal of takeoff, but a warning of risk.

Why did it break through 3000 but fail to stabilize? The core reason is simple: the selling pressure above is too fierce. Look at how heavy the sell orders are; the big players never intended to push prices up genuinely. They are merely exploiting the psychological effect of breaking the 3000 integer level, eating up the stop-loss orders set by retail investors at 2985-2995, then reversing to short. From the candlestick pattern, if the high at 3008 cannot be closed above, it will form a classic "gravestone doji," which is a strong signal of a bearish entry.

So, how to operate now? When the price drops back below 2995, absolutely do not chase longs. Wait for a rebound to the 3000-3005 range, then decisively set up short positions with a stop-loss at 3015. First target 2950; if it breaks, 2920 is not a problem.

Here are two possible scenarios for the upcoming market:

**Main Scenario (about 75% probability):** 3008 is the high of the day. The price will oscillate between 2990-3000, wearing out your patience until you give up, then a large bearish candle breaks below 2980, directly initiating a downtrend.

**Alternative Scenario (about 25% probability):** If it can break through 3015, it may continue upward, but this is less likely.

In short, the short-term outlook is more bearish than bullish, with significant resistance above. Exercise caution.

ETH0,14%

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PaperHandsCriminal

· 01-05 16:41

Once again, I was lured into a long position. That wave at 3008 was really incredible... Lost so much that I doubt my life. --- Oh my god, I shouldn't have greedily gone for that 3000. Now I'm trapped and still listening to the market makers' stories. --- Wait, are you saying it will drop even further later? I haven't even set my stop-loss properly. --- Tombstone line? Sounds like something bad... Run quickly. --- 2950 is not even a problem, huh? Things are getting a bit serious now, everyone. --- The steadfast bearish camp has declared themselves defeated. Take care, everyone. --- Got it, just don't chase the longs. I've been thoroughly educated by this wave. --- Repeatedly grinding the chart until I surrender. The market makers really know how to play.

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DustCollector

· 01-03 18:04

It's the same old story, what else could 3008 be if not a trap to lure more buyers? Speaking of which, I've heard too many times about stop-loss orders being hit. Does it really happen that often? 3000 feels like a cursed number, always getting stuck there. So annoying. Holding a position while also setting a stop-loss, I'm really at a crossroads now. If this drop continues down to 2920, my average cost will be completely compromised. Short positions are buried at 3005, just waiting for the reverse move to trap retail traders. The term "trap" has been overused lately; it seems like everything can be called a trap. Whether the 2980 line breaks or not is the key; if it breaks, I’ll need to reassess my strategy. Talking about a 75% probability, but it's just gambling—no one dares to really bet. If this tombstone line holds, I might have to cut losses again next week.

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MemeTokenGenius

· 01-02 18:49

Once again, this set: 3008 is just a trap set for retail investors, and some people are actually chasing longs—laughable. --- Honestly, I've seen too many of these pump traps; the tricks used by the big players are always the same. --- When the tombstone line appears, you should run; don't wait until it crashes before regretting. --- I definitely won't buy long below 2995; this level is very critical. --- I want to see if it can break 3015; the probability is low, but there's still a chance. --- This grinding pattern is the most torturous, just waiting for you to surrender. --- I don't dare to hold heavy positions when bearish; after all, black swan events always come unexpectedly.

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MissedTheBoat

· 01-02 18:49

The buddy who chased the long at 3008 is now seriously亏损, really, it hurts just looking at it. Another self-proclaimed veteran with many years of experience, how could I believe it? Stop-loss orders being triggered—how many times have I heard this trick? The key is, does it always work? Short positions are set up at 3000-3005, and you still have to pray not to miss the move. If you ask me, instead of listening to predictions, it's better to protect your own capital and stop falling for these tricks.

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BottomMisser

· 01-02 18:47

Really, I was also involved in the 3000 level wave, now I’m kicking myself. Pump and dump? I believe it, but bro, you sound so confident, it feels like you know the market maker’s thoughts better than they do. 2950? 2920? Let’s wait and see if we can reach 2950 first before talking. People who fail at bottom fishing all think they see through everything, but in the end, they still get cut. When it comes to the market, who dares to be certain? With a 25% chance, I actually feel a bit anxious. Hey, is there still anyone daring to place a short position? I choose to lie flat. After this round, it feels like the entire crypto circle is playing psychological warfare, and we retail investors are just outsiders. Death cross, selling pressure, pump and dump... they all sound right, but why is my account still green?

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RugDocDetective

· 01-02 18:37

It's the same old story again. I believe in the 3008 trap, but how did you come up with a 75% probability? --- Holding so many short positions, now just waiting for the 3000-3005 rebound to crash down. --- Every time they say it's carefully designed by the market makers, but why do I feel like I'm also often being cut? --- The tombstone line has broken so many times, this indicator really needs to be changed. --- If what you're saying is true, then before 3008 it should also be a trap, so why are you still hesitating? --- That target of 2950 sounds easy, but when it really breaks, the courage won't be that big. --- The term "trap" has been used so frequently in the past two years, any high point can be labeled as one. --- Retail investors' stop-losses being eaten, we've been talking about this for so many years, but it's still happening. --- I just want to know, which is more accurate this time: the 75% probability or the last one at 88%?

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