Bitcoin still needs to be cautious; it's better to wait until it returns to a key support level (such as the short-term holder cost basis) before determining if it has truly rebounded. But currently, this distribution phase is interesting—it closely resembles the distribution process from mid-2019 to October 2020, starting from the 10k price level. Back then, it was also oscillating and consolidating, with the market repeatedly testing high levels before breaking out into a new pattern. If history repeats itself, this phase will also have a process. So rather than focusing on short-term fluctuations, it's better to pay attention to whether the key price levels can hold—those are the real turning points.
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MemeCurator
· 17h ago
The idea that history repeats itself has been heard too many times; the real test is whether it can break through that support level.
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ruggedNotShrugged
· 17h ago
Hearing about history repeating itself so often, the key is whether it can truly hold its ground at the support level.
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TokenSherpa
· 17h ago
ngl, if you examine the data from that 2019-2020 distribution phase... the governance precedent here is actually pretty compelling. historically speaking, these accumulation patterns don't just happen—there's a tokenomics framework at play that most people completely miss.
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SerumSquirrel
· 18h ago
I've heard the argument of history repeating itself too many times, always claiming there's a pattern, and quite a few times it has been proven wrong. However, this analogy actually has some substance; it depends on whether we can truly stay steady on that line.
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Token_Sherpa
· 18h ago
nah, the accumulation thesis is solid but let's not pretend we know which support actually holds this time around. history rhyming is cute and all, but velocity dynamics are way different now. 2019 wasn't dealing with this level of regulatory noise + institutional baggage. key price holds? sure, fine, but which key price we talking about here... that's where the tea gets spilled.
Bitcoin still needs to be cautious; it's better to wait until it returns to a key support level (such as the short-term holder cost basis) before determining if it has truly rebounded. But currently, this distribution phase is interesting—it closely resembles the distribution process from mid-2019 to October 2020, starting from the 10k price level. Back then, it was also oscillating and consolidating, with the market repeatedly testing high levels before breaking out into a new pattern. If history repeats itself, this phase will also have a process. So rather than focusing on short-term fluctuations, it's better to pay attention to whether the key price levels can hold—those are the real turning points.