What exactly are we trading? Actually, what we are trading is risk itself. The market's cyclical patterns are not complicated; what’s complicated is human nature. Everyone's experiences, cognition, and insights vary. Someone might excel in other industries but not necessarily in the financial markets.

Hello everyone, I am trader Gege. The volatility is high. Last week, Bitcoin's range was even smaller, fluctuating within the $4000 zone without breaking the short-term boundary. This week, there are no significant data or news from the US, but the annual, quarterly, and monthly lines are about to close, so recent market movements are worth paying attention to. Volatility is expected to be quite large, which might change the current structure. Let’s skip the small talk and look at the technical analysis for Bitcoin’s weekly forecast.

The monthly chart is most likely a doji candle, as predicted in an earlier article. There are about two days left before the close. The body of the candle being either bearish or bullish is a low-probability event. There’s not much to say about the monthly line; the focus is on the candlestick pattern for January 2026. Gege leans towards a bullish candle. Since the second week of this month, the weekly chart’s closing price has fallen below 90,000, and two consecutive rebounds have not fully stabilized above 90,000. Each time it approaches 90,000, it pulls back, and today is no different. Meanwhile, the candlestick is facing resistance from the MA7. The short-term critical boundary has yet to be broken. Based on the current pattern, it’s more likely to see another downward move before completing the current structure.

On the daily chart, the Bollinger Bands are narrowing, and the candlesticks are oscillating within a small range. From the moving averages and Bollinger Bands’ pattern, a trend reversal is imminent, not too far off. Since breaking through the downward trendline’s resistance, it has temporarily been trading above it. In the short term, we can continue to monitor the transition of the downward trendline into support, especially near the lower Bollinger Band. The upper boundary of the range has been tested multiple times, and with the trend reversal approaching, it could move up to around 92,000, which has been mentioned multiple times in previous articles as a key boundary. If a breakout occurs, the major boundary is at the bottom of the rising trendline, around 96,000. If the short-term support breaks, attention should shift to around 82,000.

In summary, for this week’s short-term trading points: consider short positions around 91,500-92,000. If it breaks and stabilizes above 92,000, then look to short again at 96,000-96,800. For long positions, consider buying around 85,200-84,700; if support breaks, then look at 82,500-81,800. PS: The previous medium- and long-term positioning strategy remains valid. If you want to review, check my earlier articles. I won’t repeat it here. That’s all for today.

These suggestions are for reference only. Enter the market with proper risk management. Profit and stop-loss levels should be self-controlled. For specific strategies, consult based on real-time conditions.

Alright, friends, that’s all for today. See you next time. Wishing everyone continued success and smooth sailing in the crypto world! More real-time advice will be sent internally. That concludes today’s brief update. For more real-time insights from Bitcoin Auntie, find Gege.

Text by / I am trader Gege, a friend willing to help you make a comeback #BTC #ETH