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Aave has dropped over 13% in the past week, and the main culprit behind this is the internal governance conflict within the protocol—Aave Labs and the DAO community are arguing intensely over the distribution of fee income, which has directly shaken market confidence. In the short term, there is indeed a possibility of a rebound, but the true bottoming out and recovery will have to wait.
Looking at the three-month trend, Aave has been on a downward slope. The support at $220 in October did not hold, and in early November, it was pressed down by overhead resistance. The current overall pattern is a typical bearish formation. On the four-hour chart, although it rebounded from $146 to $155, the overall signals still lean bearish. However, there is a detail— the MACD indicator is approaching the zero line, indicating that buying momentum is gradually strengthening; the CMF index has also risen above +0.05, which usually suggests that capital is quietly accumulating. Combining these signals, a short-term rebound to the key resistance levels is possible.
The key area to watch is the $167 to $178 range, which could likely become the trigger point for the bears. If the price can break through $187, it would mean that the bearish opportunity has been completely invalidated, and an upward trend could even reverse.
Overall, the dispute over fee income has indeed shaken investor confidence, but from the fundamental perspective of the protocol itself, it remains solid. Traders should now wait for a rebound and then position themselves at key levels, but the overall market tone remains bearish. Of course, this is just an analysis for reference and does not constitute any investment advice.
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If we can't hold the 167 to 178 range, we should consider exiting.
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They claim the fundamentals are stable, but the fee distribution issue hasn't been sorted out yet—how can we trust that?
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A short-term rebound is possible, but I can't bet on it.
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MACD near zero line, CMF soaring... sounds good, but I don't dare to chase now.
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DAO and Labs are still fighting each other; it's no wonder investors lack confidence.
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Breaking through 187? I think it's difficult; market sentiment hasn't returned yet.
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This decline is essentially a crisis of confidence, not just a technical issue.
Feels like Aave will just drag on like this, 187 might have to wait until the Year of the Monkey.
The bearish pattern has lasted so long, and the rebound probably won't be anything significant.
Is the capital accumulating? No matter how I look at it, it seems like distribution...
Wait until the 167 range, there should be some movement.
I need to keep a close eye on the 167-178 range; I feel like I should be accumulating here.
Aave's fundamentals haven't collapsed; it's just the DAO folks causing trouble. I'm really impressed.
There's a chance only if it breaks through 187; otherwise, it's doomed to continue declining.
When will there be a definitive conclusion on the fee distribution issue?
There's a probability of a short-term rebound, but whether it's worth taking the risk is another matter.
MACD has approached the zero line; is there really a turning point? It still depends on whether the funds follow or not.
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The governance conflicts are so obvious, no wonder the market is so dead, we have to wait until the risk is fully released.
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The 187 barrier can't be broken, so we still have to go down. Don't overthink it.
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The fundamentals are not solid at all, everyone is playing mahjong, how can it be stable?
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Is the capital accumulating? I think it's just fleeing for safety, haha.
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When DAO fights, the coin drops. I'm tired of this routine, it's pretty annoying to watch.
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If the move from 167 to 178 really becomes a shorting point, then I will have to operate in the opposite direction.
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Wait until the internal struggles are over before making a move. It's a bit early to intervene now.
Waiting for a rebound again, waiting and waiting, investors are exhausted
Can the 167 to 187 range break? It all depends on whether funds are willing to enter the market
Aave's fundamentals are still okay, but internal conflicts have dragged it down, what a pity
There are short-term rebound opportunities, but I more want to know when Labs and DAO can settle down
Is MACD approaching the zero line? Is there capital accumulation? Sounds a bit hopeful, but once confidence is shattered, it's hard to glue it back
It's quite heartbreaking, the protocol itself is fine but was sabotaged by its own people
Waiting at the 167 to 178 level, if the bears strike again, the next step is to see if it can hold the line
It's always wait and see, fine, I'll just hold on for now
Aave's recent situation is really just insiders fighting each other, no matter how solid the fundamentals are, it’s useless
Short-term rebound? I think it's more a signal for chopping up the retail investors
If 187 can't break, I'll just keep lying flat, I'm already tired of the same old rhetoric about fund accumulation
Ha, the protocol is stable my ass, once governance gets chaotic, money just runs away
If it really rebounds this time, I’ll eat shit
Aave's recent plot twists are more exciting than crypto gossip...
The 167-178 range feels like it's about to become a "risk zone" again
Waiting for a rebound to set up? I think it's waiting for a reverse dump
Fundamentals are solid but the price isn't stable, this logic is really clever