2025-12-27 11:25:21

The Bitcoin market has been somewhat subdued over the past two weeks. The Fear & Greed Index has been stuck at 23, in the "Extreme Fear" zone, for 14 consecutive days without a rebound. Such extreme sentiment has been rare in recent years. Since December, investor confidence has not significantly recovered, and the market is filled with hesitation and anxiety.

Interestingly, industry expectations for Bitcoin in 2026 are completely divided into two camps, almost like a verbal showdown.

What do the optimistic voices say? PlanC has presented historical data: Bitcoin has never experienced two consecutive years of annual decline, so 2026 is expected to bring a bull market. Bitwise's Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan also shares a bullish outlook, believing that an upward trend will emerge next year.

But the bearish voices are also quite loud. Veteran trader Peter Brandt directly stated that 2026 could be Bitcoin's "year of stagnation," while Fidelity Global Macro Research Director Jurrien Timmer pointed to a price range of $60,000 to $65,000.

This major split in opinions actually reflects how uncertain the market currently is. From historical experience, a prolonged state of extreme panic often signals an important turning point — it could be the bottom or an opportunity for a rebound. But all of this depends on the fundamentals lining up. If 2026 really sees wild swings, we’ll just have to wait and see which expert’s prediction turns out to be more reliable.

BTC-2,69%

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LiquidityHunter

· 2025-12-30 11:24

The panic index remains stuck at 23, which is quite interesting... There are no abnormal fluctuations in liquidity depth. Under this deadlock, there are often hidden arbitrage opportunities.

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SerNgmi

· 2025-12-27 11:55

Extremely panicked for 14 days and still can't turn things around, honestly it's a bit hard to hold on. Both camps have their reasons but sound pretty intimidating, and PlanC's historical data theory isn't necessarily foolproof either. Anyway, just wait and see. Whether it rebounds or continues to fall, we have to go through it. The key is when the fundamentals will recover. It's really absurd that the number 23 is stuck so tightly. I feel like whoever can see clearly in 2026 will win, haha. --- Right now, everyone is saying their own thing, no one really knows how 2026 will go. Peter Brandt calls for a downturn, Jurrien Timmer suggests 60,000 to 65,000, but why can't anyone make a definitive call? --- The idea that there haven't been two consecutive years of decline in history sounds plausible, but the market doesn't necessarily have to repeat history. When will the extreme panic end? --- This split in opinions is ridiculous. Both the bulls and bears have big names backing them, so it’s like no one is really saying anything. Anyway, I’m just observing for now; until the fundamentals pick up, it’s all pointless. --- Stuck in extreme panic for too long feels a bit strange. It seems like either a rebound or another crash is coming; there has to be an explanation.

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Degen4Breakfast

· 2025-12-27 11:55

Index stuck at 23, it's really uncomfortable. This wave of extreme panic is truly exhausting. PlanC's logic sounds good, but who dares to bet on history repeating itself? Experts are arguing, we're just waiting to buy the dip or cut losses. I really didn't expect the prediction of 60,000 to 65,000; is the gap really that big? Extreme panic is the bottom? Not necessarily, if the fundamentals don't improve, it's all for nothing. Which of these two factions is more reliable will be known next year; guessing now is just guesswork.

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ClassicDumpster

· 2025-12-27 11:55

Extreme panic for 14 days? That’s the signal to get in, brothers --- PlanC’s set of historical patterns... Just listen, the market has never followed a linear path based on history --- The 60,000-65,000 price point sounds like setting a trap for retail investors --- Two camps are arguing, indicating no one truly understands, everyone is just gambling --- Wait, if anyone could really predict who’s still here and talking nonsense, they’d be rich by now --- Index deadlocked at 23... That’s a bit intense. How many times have you trusted the bottom signal? --- Prediction for 2026? I only care about whether I can get in now --- Fidelity says the 60,000-65,000 range, but that statement sounds as loose as ever --- Extreme panic actually improves the mood; since it’s already fallen, might as well practice with it

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GamefiGreenie

· 2025-12-27 11:50

Extremely panicked and stuck for 14 days, to be honest it's a bit exhausting. Could this be an opportunity to get in now? Historical data doesn't really matter; it mainly depends on how the whales move... PlanC and Brandt are throwing punches at each other. I'm just watching the show. Anyway, by 2026 we'll know who was bluffing. The index is so dead, it actually makes me think the bottom might be really close. No one can predict next year's market accurately. I only know that the lower I buy now, the more I can earn later. In times like these, the biggest test is mental resilience. Just relax and wait for the bottom.

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