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Looking at the four charts, I want to share my honest thoughts with everyone—it's really not the time to blindly add more positions.
The 50-week moving average has already crossed below the 100-week moving average, signaling a classic death cross. The 100-day moving average has fallen below the 200-day moving average, which are clear signals. What's the most painful? Big players and institutions are continuously selling off, while short-term holders and retail investors keep buying in. Think about this logic—doesn't it feel a bit uncomfortable?
But don’t get too absolute—there are still rebound opportunities. However, the core strategy needs to change—short-term traders should focus on rebounds and quick trades, don’t expect to catch big moves. If you want to make real money, the win rate for short positions is now much higher than for longs.
Honestly, trading doesn’t have to be complicated. Keep an eye on the big trend, find comfortable entry points on smaller timeframes, short when it’s right, hold when it’s right. My short position at an average of 89,300 for BTC and 2,980 for ETH is still open. For those who have already taken partial profits to the second target, there are still opportunities to look further down.
Don’t let go of your short positions from this morning—hold tight.