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Trump's recent remarks have caused a stir in the market. He claims he can bring the unemployment rate down to "zero in minutes"—straightforward and candid. Currently, the U.S. unemployment rate is stuck at 4.6%, a four-year high, which he blames on the federal government having too many redundant positions. According to his logic, just by cutting those "never-employed" civil servants, the unemployment rate could drop to 1% or even near zero.
How do the data look? In November, the government indeed cut 5,000 jobs, but at the same time, the private sector added 69,000 jobs, supporting a non-farm employment increase of 64,000. Trump confidently states, "100% of new jobs come from the private sector," and bets that AI and construction will continue to drive employment growth.
However, economists are not convinced. They point out that the employment trend actually hints at an economic slowdown, with AI accelerating worker replacement leading to layoffs. This is a real issue.
Interestingly, Trump has always been friendly toward the crypto industry. The government is pushing to relax crypto regulations, planning Bitcoin strategic reserves, and even some family-related stablecoins have seen significant growth. If his employment policies are combined with the previously advocated large rate cuts, it would be a massive injection of liquidity into the market.
So, the current situation is quite contradictory: on one side, the radical promise of "zero unemployment," and on the other, the real difficulties faced by the labor market. Trump's economic policies have always deeply influenced the performance of risk assets. The question is—can such employment claims foster a looser monetary environment? Can the crypto market ride this policy wave and surge again?
Cutting interest rates + loosening crypto regulations = the crypto world is about to celebrate again. Liquidity is really going to pour out this time.
Words are just words; the data is right here. The real truth is the wave of layoffs in the private sector, right?
If Trump is so friendly to the crypto world, should I trust or run? Still debating.
Claiming a 4.6% unemployment rate as zero—where did they learn math? I want to take that class too.
Next, it depends on the pace of rate cuts. If BTC hits a new high again, I won't be surprised.
Listen to what economists say: AI replacement is the trend, and unemployment problems can't be fundamentally solved.
The policy wind is coming, but don’t be fooled by flowery words. In the end, it’s all about real money.
Cutting interest rates + easing crypto regulations—this combo punch is indeed something, the crypto world should be excited.
Can the government laying off 5,000 people and the private sector adding 69,000 be considered the same? Who are they fooling?
Economists say slow down, Trump says go all out, I just want to see who wins. Anyway, just HODL.
If this wave of liquidity release really happens, can BTC break new highs? I'm a bit hopeful.
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Economists are right about the wave of AI replacement; private sector job data looks good, but what about quality?
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The combination of interest rate cuts and relaxed regulation, liquidity is indeed about to splash out
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The stablecoin family business is also on the rise, this script is quite interesting
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When you break down the unemployment rate data, the story changes, huh
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Signals of economic slowdown are being masked by employment figures, which is a bit dangerous
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If the Bitcoin strategic reserve is really pushed forward, risk assets will be excited
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Basically, it's a liquidity game; does the crypto market buy into this or not
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Civil servant layoffs of 5,000, private sector adds over 60,000, just a numbers game
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With interest rate cuts and loose policies in place, crypto should have taken off long ago