#大户持仓动态 Market Briefing on December 19

$BTC Today is another hectic day—after surging to around 89,000, it turned back and fell to about 85,000. The repeated tug-of-war has left many exhausted.

$ETH Things are even more tense here, just one step away from breaking below 2,800, depending entirely on whether the bulls have the strength to hold.

On the macro front, the US November CPI data was released at 2.7%, and the Federal Reserve futures market is already pricing in 62 basis points of easing. Analysts believe that the CPI cooling provides enough justification for a dovish stance, but there are still many uncertainties before the January decision.

On-chain activity is also significant—whales made a single large purchase of $10.35 million to buy ETH, while also opening 20x leveraged short positions, ramping up the risk.

On the Prediction Market side, the probability of Hasset taking over the Federal Reserve has jumped to 52%.

From a technical perspective, Bitcoin options are expiring soon, with a contract volume of $23 billion, enough to shake up the market rhythm. $SOL