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A 25 basis point cut? The market has already digested this expectation.
To be honest, the previous hype about a 50 basis point cut has been gone through already, and now that it’s actually happening, it’s turned into a signal that the "good news is already priced in"—short-term funds have long been prepared to exit.
What are traders really paying attention to now? Two questions: How many more rate cuts will the Federal Reserve make next year? Is there any possibility of balance sheet expansion?
These are the key variables that will determine the future liquidity and the trend of risk assets. A rate cut itself? That’s already a thing of the past.