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Kazuo Ueda is finally about to make a move. In December, he might directly raise the interest rate from 0.5% to 0.75%. With this announcement, speculators around the world are panicking:
"Come on, man! Let the liquidity flow for another two years!"
But reality is harsh—
• Those aggressive traders who borrowed yen for carry trades (taking low-interest yen loans to buy US stocks or crypto) are instantly taught a lesson by the market—accounts are getting liquidated, losses are being cut. While they scramble to convert back to yen to repay debts, they curse: "Damn, if only I hadn’t gotten greedy for that little bit of interest rate spread!"
• Bitcoin plunges straight from $92,000 to $85,000, and miners are cursing in unison: "Damn you, Ueda!"
• Japanese government bond yields are skyrocketing like a rocket, and ordinary Japanese people are watching their pension accounts shrink: "This isn’t a rate hike, this is daylight robbery!"
• Even US stocks are trembling: "Boss, take it easy! If Japan tightens up, we’ll have to tighten our belts too…"
To put it plainly:
When the Bank of Japan sneezes, global assets catch a cold.
Tonight, the only prayer for all high-leverage players:
Mr. Ueda, please go easy on us. Can you keep it loose for another two years? We haven’t even broken even yet!