At the end of last month, I published a long post warning that BTC might be headed for an epic correction, and the comments section exploded—some people called me a doomsayer, others were getting ready to buy the dip. Looking back at those screenshots now, has anyone quietly deleted their comments?

Let’s cut the fluff today. I’ve been grinding in this market for twelve years and have seen too many people get repeatedly wiped out during bear market volatility. I’m breaking down this “survival code” so that next time the market reverses, you won’t be the one getting rekt.

Here’s where 90% of people trip up: the fixed script of bear market volatility. Stop panicking when it drops and stop getting greedy when it pumps! Remember this iron rule—after a sharp drop at the market top, it will never just bottom out within 14 to 21 days. Instead, it always follows three steps: dead cat bounce to lure people in, pullback for confirmation, and a second bottom test. This isn’t voodoo; I’ve summarized it after analyzing a decade of market data.

Some examples to make it clear. At the end of the 2021 bull run, after the sharp drop, there was a bounce on day three, then on day twenty-three, a pullback that pretended to break new highs, but then it dumped straight from $69,000 to $15,000. How many people thought they were “buying the dip” but ended up losing everything?

March 2024 was even nastier. Bounce on day seven, then on day nineteen it broke the previous high—a bunch of people shouting “the bull market is back,” only for a 30% drop to wipe out all leveraged players.

Now look at the February 2025 round. Bounce hit on day four, and on day eighteen the pullback was just 5% short of the previous high. I told my group to run, and sure enough, it kept dropping afterward.

As for this current cycle...