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Staring at BTC’s 1-hour chart for a long time, I feel like this move is more of a bearish continuation—a classic second-stage pullback and consolidation. Last night when the price touched 89,900, I added some more shorts.
Honestly, after checking out various communities, everyone is bullish. But I still stick to my idea of holding short positions on the larger timeframes. After all, if you’re trading futures but don’t dare to go short, what’s really the difference from just holding spot?
The key is in position management—as long as you don’t go all-in with heavy positions and high leverage, it’s actually pretty easy to find opportunities to get out of short trades. The market has this pattern: it might take a month to grind upwards, but when it falls? That can happen in just a few minutes.
Even if I’m actually bullish on the long-term outlook, I still wouldn’t open long positions in futures. The more reliable approach is to just add some spot holdings and wait for the price to go up. The value of futures lies in being able to respond flexibly to market swings in different cycles.