#加密衍生品交易发展 According to Polymarket prediction data, the probability of Bitcoin falling below $80,000 in November has dropped to 10%, and the probability of it falling below $75,000 is only 2%. This indicates that the market remains optimistic about Bitcoin's short-term trend, expecting it to stay at a high level. However, predictions in the derivatives market do not always correspond exactly to spot price movements, so it is still necessary to closely monitor on-chain capital flows, whale activity, and the potential impact of macroeconomic changes on the crypto market. Investors are advised to remain rational and practice sound risk management.