#ETH走势分析 After years of navigating the ups and downs of the crypto market, I’ve developed a relatively robust trading framework. While I can’t guarantee everyone can replicate my success, at the very least it’s helped me stay afloat amid market volatility. I’m sharing it here for your reference.

**Stage 1: Filtering Phase**

My habit is to focus on coins that have maintained an upward trend over the past two weeks. The specific approach? I add assets with gains in the past 11 days to my watchlist, and immediately remove any that experience three consecutive days of decline—this is often a sign that capital is pulling out. The goal is simple: only play with the strong, avoid the weak entirely.

**Stage 2: Trend Confirmation**

Switch to the monthly chart and focus on the MACD indicator. Only coins showing a golden cross are worth continued attention. Why? Because while this signal may lag, it’s relatively reliable on larger timeframes and helps you avoid traps that look like rebounds but are actually just brief recoveries before further decline.

**Stage 3: Entry Point**

On the daily chart, look for the 60-day moving average and wait for the price to pull back near this line. The key is to watch trading volume—if a clear bullish candlestick appears with significant volume at this point, that’s my entry signal. This moving average is considered a medium-term support in technical analysis, and a pullback plus high volume usually means the bulls haven’t given up yet.

**Stage 4: Gradual Exit**

Sell one-third after a 30% gain, and another third after a 50% gain. For the remaining portion, set a hard rule: if the price falls below the 60-day moving average the next day, immediately close the position—no hesitation. Many people lose money at this stage—they can’t let go, always thinking the price will recover.

To be honest, this method isn’t highly technical; its core is summed up in one word: “discipline.” The market has no shortage of opportunities, but what’s lacking are people who can control themselves. As long as your capital remains, you still have a chance to turn things around.