Tonight at 11 PM, the US September Core PCE data will be released, with expectations at 2.9%, unchanged from the previous value—but don't think "unchanged data means stability," this could be a carefully crafted psychological game!

Remember last year's similar scenario? The data matched expectations, but the market crashed 5% immediately. Retail investors panic sold and cried, while the big players quietly bought the dip. Bland data with violent swings is essentially expectation management to shake out weak hands: using “no surprises” numbers to create panic and flush out the uncommitted.

Retail investors shouldn't just focus on the data itself—the key is to watch the market reaction:

• If the data meets expectations but the coin price suddenly plunges, don’t rush to sell; that could be the final dip.

• If the price remains unusually calm after the data release, stay alert—big moves often follow the silence.

Remember: the data is just a decoy, market sentiment is the real blade. Don’t be the “data-driven” retail trader tonight—be the hunter who survives by reading emotions.

#十二月行情展望