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#美股2026展望 💥 Will $BTC fall to $75,000? This question has recently sparked a lot of discussion.
First, let's look at the data: Bitcoin has breached the $90,000 mark for the first time in seven months, with a single-day fall of over 5%. From the previous high point, the retracement is close to 30%. The market has been in an uproar between bulls and bears.
**How does the pessimistic camp say?**
Chris Burniske bluntly stated to wait for 75k before taking action. Hong Hao is even harsher, believing that 70k is the true support level. Arthur Hayes' prediction is the most dramatic—he expects it to first dip to the 80k-85k range, but could surge to 200k by the end of the year! What are the prerequisites? A crash in the US stock market + massive liquidity from the Federal Reserve.
**Optimists have begun to take action.** Yi Lihua said that panic is an opportunity, and spot trading can be entered in batches now. Eugene Ng is more direct, having increased his holdings in $ETH and SOL, believing that the technical indicators are seriously oversold, and a rebound could come at any time.
Some people remain neutral. Halfwood Summer has provided a roadmap: a rebound from 94.5k to 116k, ultimately landing at 84k. Tom Lee estimates the recovery period will take 6 to 8 weeks, and there may be a turning point after Thanksgiving.
**How to operate?** Here are three ideas for reference:
Focus closely on the range of 84k-94k for short-term trading; there are plenty of swing opportunities. For long-term positions, build your position gradually; absolutely avoid going all in at once. In terms of risk control, closely monitor MSTR and the movements of gold to prevent any chain reactions.
The core logic is actually very clear - Hayes believes that when the traditional market collapses and the printing press starts, Bitcoin will take off. Tom Lee firmly believes that short-term fluctuations do not change the long-term cycle of cryptocurrencies.
The consensus among the big players is: the bottom is getting closer, but the fluctuations will continue. Keep enough bullets and patiently wait for signals. At this position of 75000, would you dare to buy?