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Don't get caught up in whether your altcoin holdings can rise tenfold, because most altcoins can't rise tenfold.


Many people are now seeing altcoins rise and casually talk about making 10 or 20 times profit. They say things like how the last bull market was and how they missed out or didn't hold on for some reason. They wonder what would have happened if they had held on. They ask me to recommend a 10x coin, and I really laugh at that. They keep bringing up experiences from the last cycle in this cycle; you won't escape losses. I know some will bring up the recently risen 10x Hippo moodeng to argue, saying look, Hippo has risen 10 times. What I want to say is that in an industry, when there are periods of dividends, there will also be periods of saturation, and these are unavoidable.
On the other hand, every round of bulls and bears of BTC can also be clearly seen. BTC 17-year bull market, with a high of 19k, after the bear reached 3k, the 20-year bull market opened, and the 21st reached a climax of 69k, more than 20 times from the bottom of the bear market, and about 3.6 times from the last round high of 19k. Looking at this round again, if 15k is the low point of the bear market, the high point of the bull market is generally seen at 150k-200k, which is more than 10 times from the bottom of the bear, and more than 3 times from the high point of 69k in the last round. And what about the next round? The specific point increase is unknown, but it is a high probability event that the increase is lower than this round
The same principle applies to altcoins. In the bull market of 2017, hundred-fold coins were everywhere, and ten-fold coins were as numerous as cows. In the bull market of 2021, hundred-fold coins were relatively rare, while ten-fold coins were more common. Therefore, in this round of bull market, it is reasonable for excellent altcoins to rise ten-fold, while garbage altcoins may rise 2-3 times. Don’t think that just because you can buy Hippo moodeng, most people wouldn’t dare to heavily invest even if they manage to buy it.
In "Das Kapital", there is a term called low-hanging fruit,
It is the literal meaning.
Any market/industry is like an apple tree.
The tree is full of apples, hanging down.
At the beginning, everyone could reach the low-hanging fruit and easily pick one.
Slowly, the fruits below were picked clean by people.
Slowly, the middle fruits were also picked by people, leaving only the ones at the top of the tree.
You need to be able to climb up to reach it, but there are even fewer who can climb trees.
The low-hanging fruit, called the dividend period, everyone has the chance to reach an apple, only the low-hanging fruit belongs to the opportunity of ordinary people.
The fruits at the top of the tree do not belong to ordinary people, but to geniuses.
Recognize reality, do not fantasize. #ContentStar#
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The content is for reference only, not a solicitation or offer. No investment, tax, or legal advice provided. See Disclaimer for more risks disclosure.
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ItIsSafestToPutThevip
· 05-16 12:12
I also found that the conventional thinking of buying on the rise in the crypto world no longer works; basically, it just keeps falling after it goes online, and only shorting can make money. In 2021, there were also many 100x coins, RACA had six hundred times, BABYDOGE, pigcoin, and Elon were all 100x.
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AThoughtOfFlowersBlovip
· 05-16 11:37
It's right to pull it up and it's empty
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