The daily chart of BTC/USDT shows a typical down adjustment + staged oscillation to build a bottom, and the key points are gradually becoming clear. Let's analyze step by step the likely daily direction in the coming period:

-
1. Current Structure Analysis:
• Current price: approximately 84,164 USDT
• Recent high: 109,702 USDT (top structure)
• Strong support area: 77,385 USDT (touched multiple times)
• MACD: The two lines are below the zero axis, but the histogram is shortening, and a golden cross is approaching.
• KDJ: The J value has surged above 100, with K and D also trending upwards, indicating strength.
-
2. Key Technical Signals:
-
1. Prototype of W bottom
• Has already tested the bottom twice in the 77,000~78,000 range
• The second dip did not create a new low, showing signs of forming a "W bottom".
-
2. MACD bottom divergence + golden cross expectation
• DIF and DEA are near, and the golden cross is imminent
• If the golden cross is successful, it indicates a short-term strengthening.
-
3. Volume Analysis
• The recent long bullish candle + increased volume indicates active buying pressure.
• If the volume continues to increase next, the probability of confirming the W bottom on the right side is high.
-
3. Bitcoin daily chart most probable trend analysis:
-
High probability path (consolidation bottoming → start rebound):
1. If it retraces without breaking 80,000~81,000, it is confirmed as the "right shoulder"
2. MACD golden cross combined with volume breakout at 88,700 (yellow resistance line)
3. Upside target: Look at 98,000 first, then around 102,000
-
Medium probability path (bounce meets resistance):
1. Short-term shock 88,000~90,000
2. The breakout without volume failed, falling back to 81,000~83,000 and oscillating again.
/
Low probability path (retesting the bottom):
1. If it falls below the strong support of 77,385
2. It may test the previous low around 73,000 or the extreme level near 69,000.
-
4. Summary and Recommendations:
-
Indicator Status
The daily chart trend is in a weak oscillation and bottoming out.
Pattern W bottom prototype
MACD/KDJ Bullish signal begins to appear
Trading Volume Valid Increase (Pending Confirmation)
High probability direction After consolidation, break through 88,000, looking up to 98,000
-
5. Strategy Tips (not investment advice, for reference only):
• If it holds steady at 88,000: consider adding a small position to go long, set a stop-loss at 83,000
• If it bounces back to around 80,000 and stops falling: it may be a short-term gold buying point.
• If it falls below 77,000: need to be alert for a deep pullback
-