Evening Bitcoin and Altcoin Strategy

In the initial stage of this round of rally, Bitcoin did not move in sync with Altcoins, only Altcoins were rising independently. This kind of divergence-based rebound lacks consensus support, and the upward momentum is very unstable. Later, Bitcoin experienced a passive slight increase, mainly driven by a catch-up rally rather than collective bullish effort. This false surge is destined to be unsustainable, and a short-term pullback and correction are inevitable.
From a technical perspective, the price surged to test the key resistance at 2412 but quickly faced resistance and turned down, failing to break through the previous secondary high. Subsequently, it repeatedly lost the 2360 level, breaking below the hourly bearish flag pattern, officially starting a bearish trend. Currently, the first dip has reached the support zone around 2300, and the key will be whether the lower support can hold effectively.
If the 2300 support fails to stabilize and breaks with increased volume, the next target is the 2251 range, waiting for a signal of a bottoming and stabilization;
If the lower support holds effectively, a short-term rebound must recapture the resistance zone of 2339–2360 to break the current downtrend, return to a recovery phase, with the rebound target again at the 2412 resistance level.
Conversely, long-term consolidation within the 2300–2339 range indicates a weak sideways trend, which is the most favorable scenario for bulls.

Trading Suggestions
A strong breakout with volume that stabilizes above 2325, follow the trend and go long on the rebound;

If the price breaks below 2307 with volume and fails to recover, directly follow the trend and go short, strictly managing stop-loss risk.

• Hourly level: Stabilize above 2325 and move upward, target 2339–2360;

• 4-hour level: Effectively break below 2308, bearish continuation, look for a gradual decline to 2283–2251.