Recently, I saw a bunch of people claiming "The supply of stablecoins has increased = a big bull run is coming" as the conclusion, and I really rolled my eyes... Correlation is not causation. An increase in stablecoins might be for backup funds, or it could just be off-chain arbitrage, market making, or even preparing to run away; the same goes for ETF inflows—money coming in doesn't mean immediately chasing high, many are gradually allocating or hedging, which is quite different from your idea of a "rocket launch."



Last week, I saw celebrities calling trades + meme after meme, and newcomers jump in just for the excitement. I can only say that the old players' phrase "Don't take the last step" is not showing off. Anyway, I still focus on volatility, keep smaller positions, buy insurance, and prefer to earn less than let emotions control risk management.
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