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Ultimate judgment: There will not be a full-scale war, but the market will be "repeatedly shaken and rallied"
If I have to give a conclusion, it is:
✔ Ceasefire will not completely break down
✔ The Strait of Hormuz will not be blocked for long
✔ The conflict will continue to create tension
Both Iran and the United States understand that the true cost of a full-scale war is too high.
But that doesn't mean the market will be calm.
On the contrary, the market will enter a new rhythm:
News-driven + high volatility + emotion-led
Oil prices will fluctuate wildly,
Global markets will switch back and forth between "panic" and "recovery."
In one sentence:
This is not a "war market,"
but an "emotion-driven rollercoaster market."
#加密市场行情震荡