#美伊談判陷入僵局

🌊 Current Situation of Strait Blockade and Negotiations
U.S. military and Iran are "locked in a standoff": The U.S. continues to expand the blockade and has reported intercepting multiple supertankers. Trump even issued an "sink order," authorizing the firing to sink any Iranian vessels laying mines in the strait. Iran, on the other hand, has sent the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) to seize commercial ships in retaliation. Currently, the daily vessel traffic through the strait has plummeted from the usual 130 ships to only single digits.

A glimmer of hope amid the deadlock: Although Iran claims the U.S. has broken promises and shows no sincerity in negotiations, causing delays, Pakistani mediators have just publicly confirmed that the U.S. and Iran have a recent opportunity to hold a "second round of talks." The market is closely watching whether the situation can be pulled back from the brink.

📈 Global Market Response: Oil Price Surge and Safe-Haven Assets
Geopolitical tensions and blocked key shipping routes have directly rewritten traditional financial market asset pricing logic:

Energy Market Premiums Surge: The strait controls about 20% of the world's oil and liquefied natural gas. Escalating confrontation has caused international oil prices to soar sharply at closing. Brent crude futures have again stabilized above $105 per barrel, and WTI futures have surged above $95 due to market fears of supply disruptions.

Stock Markets and Defensive Assets: The deadlock in negotiations has pressured global stock markets (especially the U.S., Japan, South Korea, etc.) and caused declines. Investors can read more market analysis through E.SUN Securities to understand how this blockade is viewed as a "maximum pressure negotiation test" rather than a full-scale war.

Asian Energy Alert: Asian economies, heavily dependent on Middle Eastern oil imports, are bearing the heaviest impact. Many countries have listed responding to the strait crisis as a national security priority.

🪙 In the Middle East crisis, the cryptocurrency market experienced a brief panic but has now stabilized:
Short-term plunge then stabilization: During the initial breakdown of negotiations, Bitcoin (BTC) suddenly dropped more than $2,000 from its high.
Currently trading sideways at high levels: As fear and greed indices slightly retreat, Bitcoin is now stable in the $74,000 to $78,000 range, consolidating sideways.
Massive inflows into ETFs: Although geopolitical conflicts remain unresolved, Bitcoin spot ETFs have consecutively experienced "net capital inflows" for 5 to 6 days, indicating that institutions and large investors are not selling due to war risks. Instead, they continue to use it as a tool to hedge against inflation and diversify risks.