1. Bitcoin (BTC): Tug of war before the $80,000 level

Reasons to go long (bullish):

Institutional core holdings: Although ETF funds have slowed in their inflow, there has been no large-scale net outflow, and there is strong buying support around $75k .

Technical pattern: The daily chart is still in an uptrend channel; as long as $75,000 support is defended, the structure remains intact.

Reasons to go short (bearish / cautious):

Strong resistance suppresses price: The $79k-$80k area has seen multiple breakouts that turned into failed rallies; profit-taking selling pressure is heavy.

Sentiment indicators: The greed index has fallen back; the market is in a wait-and-see mood, and failed breakouts are likely to trigger a pullback.

Macro risk: Uncertainty in Federal Reserve policy (watch the FOMC on 4/30).

2. Ethereum (ETH): Relatively weak—waiting for rotation

Current situation: Recent performance has been weaker than BTC (even though the ETH/BTC ratio has rebounded, it remains low).

Strategy perspective:

Bearish idea: If it cannot hold above $2,350, and the downside momentum is stronger than BTC, consider going short.

Bullish idea: Around $2,250 is a strong support zone favored by institutions, suitable for betting on a rebound.
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