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Lately, watching the options market feels a bit like watching a food delivery app: buyers are hoping for a "comeback possibility," while sellers are selling "time helping me drain that hope." Time value, to put it simply, is like a daily emotional tax deducted from you... As a buyer, even if you're right about the direction, you need to get out quickly, or you'll be eaten up by time; as a seller, it's satisfying, but when sudden big swings happen, it's like lifting the lid off a pot, oil splattering all over your face.
Just as the main public chain is upgrading/maintaining, the group is guessing whether there will be a migration, and this kind of uncertainty loves to eat up time value: everyone wants to bet on whether "something will go wrong or not." Right now, I'm more concerned about whether the IV (implied volatility, simply put, the market pricing in panic) has been inflated too high. If it's too high, I don't want to be the one paying that emotional tax anymore. That's all for now; I'll draw the chart later.