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The current market news is no longer just small skirmishes; it’s a true “game of high-stakes bluffing.”
No need to predict; we only look at the facts. The market has completely bid farewell to the era driven by retail investors and grassroots trading. Every fluctuation now reflects a battle of will between the state and top-tier capital.
【Core Analysis of News on April 22】
1. The Scepter Change: The Power Struggle Between Saylor and BlackRock
This week’s hottest news isn’t price fluctuations but Strategy’s (Wei Ce) strong accumulation. Saylor just spent $2.54 billion to buy, pushing his holdings directly past 815k BTC.
Core analysis: Wei Ce’s holdings have officially surpassed BlackRock’s IBIT. This is not just a matter of numbers; it signifies that the “corporate debt hoarding model” has matured enough to rival the “asset management giant model.” Institutions are no longer just watching from the sidelines; they are turning Bitcoin into a core asset on corporate balance sheets.
2. Geopolitical “Cooling” and “Desensitization”
Trump postponed the Middle East ceasefire agreement, and the risk premium on the Strait of Hormuz is diminishing.
Core analysis: The interesting part is this—previously, when this “risk-averse sentiment” faded, the crypto market usually fell along with gold; but now, BTC behaves more like a “risk appetite indicator.” When geopolitical tensions ease, liquidity dares to enter. Today’s Bitcoin is shedding the “doomsday gold” label and sticking a “digital liquidity king” patch.
3. The “Curve Rescue” by the National Teams: Russia’s Hardcore Turnaround
Russia has passed a law allowing the use of cryptocurrencies for cross-border trade settlements.
Core analysis: This isn’t about faith; it’s about survival. When fiat channels are cut off, cryptocurrencies become the only “lubricant” for global trade. This presents a dilemma for global regulators: when cryptocurrencies carry real trade sovereignty, bans become paper tigers.
4. “Chaos” Remains: Warnings from Industry’s Underlying Nature
While giants are battling, Justin Sun is suing World Liberty Financial, and Volo on Sui has just been hacked.
Core analysis: This is the true nature of the industry—on one side, the well-dressed Wall Street and national leaders; on the other, jungle law in the form of lawsuits, freezes, and hacks. This means that no matter how stable the top-level architecture appears, the technical and human governance risks beneath never disappear.
【Old Buddy’s Review and Insights】
The current market isn’t just about good news; it’s a “structural shift in consensus.”
Funding: Institutions are accumulating not for short-term profits but to lock in pricing power over digital assets.
Application: From a safe haven to a trade settlement tool, utility is being forcibly injected.
In one sentence: The elephants have already entered the porcelain shop, and they don’t plan to leave. Against the backdrop of these giants squatting, any market shocks are just filtering out the last group of holders who can’t hold their positions.
The news is read, the logic is clear. Now, it’s a matter of who has more patience.