Small timeframes look for buy and sell points, larger timeframes look for direction. The 4-hour channel resistance still has room to go up, but the space isn't large. Watch out for liquidity between 79,500 and 80,700. No matter what, go short here; even if stopped out, stay short. This short-term long strategy is not recommended; it’s easy to get caught in a trap. Continue to short on rallies. Here's a simple analysis.

April 22 Market Analysis

$BTC

Current price: about 77,500 (midday rally)

Structure: Fake break below 74,890 then bullish engulfing pattern, returning to a flag pattern; break above 76,272, approaching the high of 76,925

Bull-bear boundary: 76,246 (if held, push toward previous high; if not, retest 74,984)

Resistance: 77,325 → 78,323 → 79,264

Support: 76,246 → 74,984 → 73,773

Strategy:

Break above 77,325 with volume → chase long on the right side, target 78,323-79,264

Break below 76,246 with volume and rebound fails → chase short on the right side, target 75,012-73,758

Only valid if hourly level holds above 77,325; 4-hour breakdown below 76,311 signals weakening

$ETH

Current price: about 2,368 (rising in sync)

Correlation: Strongly follows BTC, break above 2,365 targets 2,397-2,432

Resistance: 2,365 → 2,397 → 2,432

Support: 2,331 → 2,287 → 2,251

Strategy:

Break above 2,365 with volume → chase long on the right side, stop loss at 2,331

Break below 2,331 with volume → chase short on the right side, stop loss at 2,365

Retest and stabilize at 2,287 → go long, stop loss at 2,259

Left-side pinning: 2,235 long, stop loss at 2,197

Try short near 2,418, stop loss above 2,442

Summary

BTC chooses direction within 76,246-77,325; break above 77,325 to target previous high. ETH strongly follows, with 2,331-2,365 as key; hold above 2,365 to see 2,400+.
Strictly use stop losses, keep positions light, enter and exit quickly. Don’t get washed out by repeated pinning. #加密市场反弹