#比特币反弹 Does the historical pattern reveal the truth? Analyst: After this deep dip, Bitcoin will break its previous high of 126k within 12 months

Bitcoin's recent turbulence has scared many people into cold sweat. From breaking below $100k to almost being pushed back below $60k, some in the market even started shouting "The bear is here." But just when everyone was panicking, veteran crypto trader Michaël van de Poppe dropped a historical timetable — don’t rush to cut losses, the real rally might not have started yet.
Poppe posted on April 20, straightforwardly stating: Statistically, after each "abnormal deep correction," Bitcoin inevitably hits a new all-time high within 12 months. Moreover, in the 3 to 6 months afterward, the price usually rises 30% to 60% above that lowest point. Based on this pattern, if Bitcoin rebounds from around 62k now and can stabilize in the coming months, reaching 100k USD by Q3 2026 is a "reasonable expectation."
Pushing further, surpassing the previous all-time high of 126k USD is just a matter of time.
In simple terms, Poppe believes this current market isn’t stagnant but in a "transition" — a bottoming phase before a major rally.
Looking at recent price movements also makes sense. Bitcoin has been gradually climbing from earlier lows, with the bottom rising, each low higher than the last — a typical gradual recovery pattern.
The 73k to 74k USD zone is currently the lifeline for bulls; as long as it holds, bears have no chance. Moving upward, resistance lies between 77k and 78k USD. Once volume breaks through that, the 80k USD threshold will be open.
Interestingly, the trading volume during this rebound is noticeably different from previous declines — sell-offs are shrinking, and buyers are quietly taking over. Although the rise isn’t rapid, it’s steady.
Of course, Poppe admits that Bitcoin’s short-term trend might still be sluggish, not jumping straight up with a big green candle. The overall market still has some drag, especially since the Nasdaq hasn’t fully recovered, and the Nasdaq is often a leading indicator for Bitcoin. Once US tech stocks regain strength, Bitcoin will truly pick up momentum.
As of this writing, Bitcoin is at $75,964, up about 1% in 24 hours, and the weekly chart is barely in the red, up 2%. Despite the modest volatility, as long as the price stays above 73k, the bulls hold the initiative. Conversely, if the close drops below 73k, support levels around 70k and even 68k will face tests.
Overall, Poppe’s timetable isn’t just random talk; it’s based on hard data from past cycles showing "big drops followed by big rises." For spot holders, the biggest mistake now is to be scared out by short-term noise. History doesn’t repeat exactly, but the rhythm often resembles itself — after the last deep dip, Bitcoin took less than a year to set new records. This time, it might be no different.