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😎4.21 Midday Market Outlook | BTC Strategy Overview😎
$BTC Market Analysis:
This round of rebound has never been able to hold above 76272, just as previously judged — before a valid breakthrough of this resistance, all upward moves can only be considered rebounds, not trend reversals.
BTC has attempted to push above 76272 twice but failed to break through, and is now in a correction phase.
76272 is the natural rebound high point after the decline from 78323. Because this level failed to break through, it led to the subsequent dip to 73500. Therefore, if the upward space is to be opened later, it must stabilize above 76272; breaking through could further target 77561. If it remains under pressure, a significant rally will be difficult to form.
Currently, the bearish flag pattern has been broken, and a retest of the lower support at 74890 is highly probable:
• If support at 74890 holds, a consolidation in the range of 76272–74890 is likely;
• If 74890 is broken, the key support at 73510 will be tested further.
As long as the correction does not fall below 73510, the overall trend remains within controllable limits, with opportunities for another upward push, and it may form a double bottom pattern with the previous 73510 pin position.
73510 is a critical defensive level; once it is broken effectively, the downward space will further expand. The optimal scenario is to stabilize above 74890 without breaking it, then rebound.
Trading Strategy:
• Break through 76273 with volume and hold steady, then go long on the right side, aiming for continued upward movement;
• Break below 75299 with volume and fail to recover on the rebound, then go short on the right side, strictly setting stop-loss.
Level Points:
• 1-hour level: Hold above 76273 → look up to 77474–78323
• 4-hour level: Break below 75236 → look down to 73758–71990
Key Zones:
Upper resistance: 76273 – 77474 – 78323
Lower support: 75281 – 73750 – 71970