The crypto market is currently watching to see how things play out with Iran.

Both Bitcoin and Ethereum have been more resilient than many anticipated. They had started bouncing back even before the recent tensions began, and they kept going up even when stock markets were falling. Still, this recent strength doesn't feel entirely solid.

This recent upward movement seems more like a short-term bounce than a real shift in the overall trend. History shows that similar rallies often lead to another dip afterward, which is why traders are staying careful.

Bitcoin really needs to get back above the $80,000 mark. Until it does, this current rally won't be very strong and could easily fall apart.

Compared to the stock market, crypto isn't doing as well. US stocks saw a strong rebound once the ceasefire was announced, but crypto's recovery has been much slower and not as forceful.

Right now, what's really driving things is the global political situation. Everyone in the markets is watching closely to see how the tensions with Iran unfold this week.

Should the conflict get worse, we'll probably see another big selloff in crypto. If things calm down, crypto might go up, but it probably won't be the main leader of the market's recovery.

Even if a peace agreement is reached, investors might put their money back into regular stocks, especially those tied to AI, rather than putting it into crypto.

So, all in all, crypto isn't crashing, but it's not really showing strong upward movement either. It's simply waiting for a clear reason to move, and at the moment, that reason comes down to how global risks are perceived.

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