BTC Global Market Depth Analysis

【Bull-Bear Lifeline】
73500-74000
Hold: Only weak rebound correction, no major reversal or surge
Break below: Directly open downward space, target at 70000 level
Above 76000: Dense trapped heavy pressure zone, no new buying interest, no breakthrough possible

【Macro Underlying Logic】
Federal Reserve meeting on 4.28 imminent
Beige Book: Energy costs across all 12 U.S. districts surge across the board
Official hawkish remarks all materialized:
Waller: The higher oil prices go, the faster inflation spreads, the further rate cuts are
Goolsbee: Long-term high oil prices, rate cuts postponed until 2027
Complete transmission chain:
Oil prices don’t fall → Inflation remains high → Rate cuts hopeless → Risk assets continue bleeding

【Largest Geopolitical Minefield】
U.S.-Iran ceasefire agreement expires on 4.22, only 2 days left
U.S. officials announce negotiations, Iran directly denies publicly
While claiming to negotiate, they continue firing and blocking the strait
Fake negotiations, essentially gunpoint standoff, uncertainty at its peak

【On-Chain Liquidation Truth】
BTC drops below 70876
Will trigger all $823 million long positions to be liquidated
Massive liquidity below, already waiting silently for harvest

【Final Conclusion】
All those chasing high positions now
Are just free liquidity fuel for a bear market

Rather than suffering in panic chasing highs, it’s better to follow the trend and seize certain profits.
Remember, in the crypto world, understanding the trend is instinct, respecting the market is duty, choosing the right people and the right path is the key to long-term profit. $BTC $ETH #布伦特原油持续走强 #美伊冲突再起引发市场动荡