🔥Yang Guang BIT | Evening Trend Forecast

【Core News】
The US-Iran conflict continues to escalate
Iran’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs states that US sanctions have constituted war crimes and crimes against humanity; Trump has firmly stated that if Iran does not accept the agreement, they will destroy its power plants and bridges, significantly increasing the risk of negotiation breakdown, and geopolitical panic directly suppresses risk assets.
Safe-haven funds are accelerating their withdrawal
The market worries that out-of-control conflict could trigger an energy crisis, with funds collectively fleeing high-volatility assets. BTC/ETH has already reflected safe-haven demand in advance, and after the US stock market opens, sentiment is likely to further propagate.
【Market Status】📊
BTC current price is about 75,400, with a strong resistance zone at 76,000-76,300, rebounds are weak corrections, and the bearish trend dominates the market.
ETH current price is about 2,325, moving in tandem with BTC under pressure, with short-term resistance at 2,380-2,400, and support levels have been tested multiple times.
【Pre-market US Stock Market Trend Forecast】💡
Before opening (1 hour before US market opens): Market sentiment is cautious, likely to remain in narrow fluctuations, with a slight rebound to 75,800-76,000 / 2,360-2,380, which is the best window for shorting and building positions.
After US market opens: If US stocks open lower due to geopolitical news, risk assets will also come under pressure, and BTC/ETH are likely to start a second decline, with BTC targeting 74,500-74,000 and ETH targeting 2,280-2,250.
Extreme scenario: If the conflict further intensifies, liquidity may be triggered to cascade, with BTC dropping to the 73,500 range, and ETH falling below 2,200.
【Strategy Suggestions】📌
BTC: During the rebound to 75,800-76,000, gradually short in segments, with a stop loss at 76,500, targeting 74,500 → 74,000.
ETH: During the rebound to 2,360-2,380, short with a stop loss at 2,420, targeting 2,280 → 2,250.
Core idea: Geopolitical news dominates sentiment; short on rebounds, avoid bottom fishing and holding large positions; strictly control losses and position sizes.
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