#数字资产生态回暖 Listen to me——this needs to be taken seriously👀

Will hiring freezes lead to market crashes? The US job market may enter a "cold period" by 2026.

2025 won't be friendly to job seekers in the US, and 2026 probably won't be any better.

The real issue is quite painful: the market isn't thawing, but may completely collapse. But the reality? It’s neither that intense nor that sudden. Most likely, it will continue in this sluggish state of "few hires, few layoffs"—both employers and job seekers will have to learn to survive in a colder, more selective market.

Numbers tell you when to be alert: November's non-farm payroll data will be released on December 16, and the December report won't come until January 9, 2026. Right now, the government is still digesting the backlog of data caused by last month's 43-day government shutdown.

This "frozen" hiring environment is hard to improve in the short term. Even if the economy only experiences a mild recession, the already fragile groups will be hit hard. Don't expect monthly employment data to show a clear rebound—keeping it low is highly probable.

For those working on the front lines, the next six months will require careful budgeting.