Bitcoin's $82K Defense Over the Weekend Confirms Bullish '2021 Fractal' – Analyst

Source: CoinEdition Original Title: Bitcoin’s $82K Defense Over the Weekend Confirms Bullish ‘2021 Fractal’ – Analyst Original Link: Bitcoin bounced off support above $82,000 over the weekend, leading several analysts to confront the suspicion of a BTC bull run in its early stages. One analyst has identified a repeat of Bitcoin’s 2021 behavior that led to the bear market, only that this time, the cryptocurrency defended the support for a potential reversal.

2021 Bitcoin Fractal and Why the Bounce is Different This Time

Analyst Merlijn highlights the similarities in market structure. The price action mirrors the consolidation phase seen before the 2021 collapse. The key difference today is the successful defense of support.

To confirm a bullish reversal, Bitcoin must now break the downward trendline of its current descending triangle. A breakout above this resistance would flip the market structure back to bullish.

Bitcoin’s Encouraging Bounce Back

A data analyst described Bitcoin’s latest recovery as an “encouraging bounce back.” The analyst noted that many crypto traders are paying attention to ongoing developments while investigating the latest Bitcoin price decline to ascertain if the latest drop was the best opportunity to buy BTC under the current circumstances.

Using on-chain data, the analyst revealed that the majority of retail traders are predicting a bear market for Bitcoin. However, historical data show that the cryptocurrency typically initiates a reversal when bearish sentiments and FUD are at their peak. According to the analysis, such scenarios lead to a bounce in Bitcoin’s price and subsequent liquidation of short positions placed by the pessimists.

Is Bitcoin in No-Man’s Land?

Meanwhile, analysis platform data suggests that Bitcoin is currently in no-man’s land. In its latest update, the analysis highlighted the cryptocurrency’s position beneath short-term holders’ realized prices, which coincides with deeper realized levels. BTC needs to climb above these indicators to confirm its structural recovery and establish a base for a fresh bull run.

Market data reveals that Bitcoin traded at $87,725 at the time of writing, reflecting a 9% rally from the latest pullback.