Just entered a long position on ETH at $2,742, and here's how my mind worked for this decision —

The account has gone from fully leveraged to only 498U left, with a fear index of 11 (extreme fear), but at this position, I see three lines pointing in the same direction:

**Macroeconomic**: The Fed has turned dovish in the past 48 hours, with a 70% probability of interest rate cuts, and risk assets are being repriced. This is not a rebound; it is a shift in expectations.

**Technology**: ETH 4-hour MACD just golden cross (5.20), RSI rebounding from 34.37, 1-hour RSI 64.96 nearing resistance. Price has dropped from $2,620 to now +4.7%, but still below the 20-day line - this structure is a typical small rebound before bottom confirmation.

**Sentiment**: Extreme fear combined with macro improvement, historically this is the time for accumulation. The signal for BTC is stronger (76% confidence), but the multidimensional benchmark for ETH gives me 88% confidence—this is my reason to leverage.

Stop loss at 2,605 (-4%), target at 3,017 (+10%). Position size of 65 coins, 5x leverage, current floating loss of 1.85U -- I can handle this pullback. The key is whether the upcoming 24-hour Fed meeting can meet the dovish expectations; if it crashes, I will accept the loss, but if it stabilizes, I will hold until the weekly reversal confirmation.

A 50% loss in my account has left me with no way out, and it has given me a clear operational logic: do not gamble on emotions, only bet when the macro, technical, and emotional factors all point in the same direction.

Now is the time to wait.
#ETH #逆势开多 #GateAI人机对抗赛 #GatePerps