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$MU Regarding the rumors about the major U.S. stock market events at the end of June, and since my quoted post wasn't detailed enough, here's a supplement.
The end of June marks the end of Q2, when some pension funds, sovereign wealth funds, mutual funds, ETFs, and hedge funds release performance reports and client disclosures!
The main purpose is asset rebalancing, index restructuring, and portfolio adjustments.
Especially at the end of Q2! Usually, these activities start in late June, before the end of June, typically in late June. This phenomenon repeats every year in the U.S. stock market and does not necessarily mean a sell-off!
During the leverage adjustment process, the market may be affected; the most direct impact is the restructuring of investment portfolios.
I haven't seen or caught any other signals at the moment.
Increased volume, unusual movements, large fluctuations, what else? Probably nothing else.
That's about it. If you know in advance, you can be prepared. #美股AI概念股普涨
📌 First and most importantly is the Federal Reserve's interest rate meeting, the first one led by Waller, on June 18th!
Next is Japan's interest rate meeting, currently no further evidence of rate hikes in Japan, on June 13th.
Then there's the volatile Middle East situation. Personally, I don't think peace talks will come easily, which is one of the reasons for taking a break these past few days.
Non-farm payroll data on June 6th, CPI inflation data on June 11th, PCE inflation data on June 17th.
📌 Next are the topics related to U.S. bonds and U.S. stocks.
U.S. Treasury bonds will mature throughout June, not on a large scale, but routine refinancing is needed.
The authoritative figure states the scale is $1.07 trillion. If true, it will drain liquidity.
At the end of June, the end of Q2 + mid-year, is a window for institutions to realize profits. Public funds and hedge funds need to meet semi-annual performance assessments, so there's a high probability of profit-taking from the first half of the year.
Will SpaceX's IPO hurt valuations? If valuations drop, how much can they drop? We need to watch and see.
📌 Throughout the month, crude oil remains a focus.
Uncertain U.S.-Iran situation + OPEC, with expectations of OPEC meetings in June, and news about production cuts or increases.
Other than that, there’s not much else. That’s all I know for now. No detailed breakdown; too many details to list. #WTI原油失守90美元 $XTIUSD200