$BTC daily plan & hedge long



My primary thesis remains unchanged.

We still have meaningful liquidity and positioning overhead, while order flow continues to look constructive for now

That's why I expect the higher probability path is a mitigation higher before any larger continuation lower.

I adjusted my hedge entries slightly:
> 50% size at 61.6k
> Remaining 50% around 61k

Reasoning is straightforward:
> Liquidity has been building around 61k
> The 61.2k level remains the largest single liquidity level on my board (~250M) -> sits around GP

As long as we remain above the previous range low, I will hedge into a corrective move

Target remains the range VAL, which would effectively be a bearish retest of the prior range structure.

Positioning, liquidity distribution and current order flow still support that scenario as my base case for today.

Will reassess if buyers fail to defend the reclaim zone.
BTC-3.86%
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HotAirBalloonCrossingMountains
· 9h ago
Waiting for a 61k pullback confirmation, the hedge position is set quite conservatively.
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BetweenBidAndAsk
· 10h ago
I have reservations about the term "order flow constructive"; recently, buying activity has been a bit weak.
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PatchNotes
· 10h ago
The rhythm of entering in 50% batches is comfortable, avoiding being fully hit with a spike all at once.
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BridgeHopBella
· 10h ago
This daily plan has a clear idea, copied it.
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GateUser-94818fd0
· 10h ago
Defend the reclaim zone is key; once broken, it must be reevaluated.
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OrderCancellerAfterTheRain
· 10h ago
Liquidity overhead pressure is high, but bouncing up first before falling is more reasonable.
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