June 9, 2026 BTC Technical Analysis + Intraday Strategy (Current Price ≈ 62,800 USDT)

1. Trend Qualitative Analysis

• Major Trend: May high of 82,000 → retracement of about 23%, mid-term bear market structure remains unchanged.

• Today's Structure: Rebounded from 59,100 to 64,200 then decreased on lower volume, a rebound correction after oversold conditions, not a reversal.

• Sentiment: Fear and Greed Index ≈ 15 (Extreme Fear); ETF turned net inflow for the first time in 15 days, marginal capital warming.

2. Key Price Levels (Intraday)

• Strong Resistance: 63,500 / 64,200 / 65,500

• Strong Support: 62,000 / 61,000 / 60,000

3. Technical Snapshot (Daily + 4H)

• Daily

◦ Price below MA50 (≈75,300) and EMA60, moving averages are in a bearish alignment.

◦ MACD below zero line, green bars converging, bearish momentum weakening but no reversal.

◦ RSI ≈ 42, rebounding from oversold to neutral, limited rebound momentum.

◦ Bollinger Bands opening downward, middle band at 68,152, strong resistance.

• 4-Hour

◦ Bullish divergence forming at the bottom, short-term bullish bias but volume insufficient.

◦ 64,200 double top resistance is clear; 62,000 is the key level separating bulls and bears.

4. Intraday Trading Strategy (6.9)

1) Main Strategy: Rebound Short (Follow the Major Trend)

• Entry: Pullback from 63,500–64,200 under resistance

• Stop Loss: >64,800

• Take Profit: 62,000 → 61,000

2) Secondary Strategy: Light Long Position at Low Levels (Oversold Rebound)

• Entry: Stabilization around 61,000–61,500

• Stop Loss: <60,500

• Take Profit: 63,000–63,500

3) Risk Control and Observation Rules

• If volume increases and price stabilizes above 64,800: pause shorts, shift to sideways/bullish short-term, do not chase highs.

• If breaks below 60,000: abandon longs, look downward towards 54,000–55,000.

• Position Size: Total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%, mainly light positions in a bear market.

5. Core Logic

• Bear market rebound + consolidation bottoming is not a trend reversal; rebounds are opportunities to short.

• Macro Focus: Federal Reserve rate decision on June 17, volatility will increase before the decision, direction #美股AI概念股普涨 remains uncertain.