6.9 Tuesday Morning Thought Analysis

Currently, the 4-hour cycle is in a weak rebound phase within a downtrend, the main downward structure has not reversed, and the price is being suppressed by the middle band of the Bollinger Bands and the descending moving average, indicating that the bearish trend's continuation has not been broken. After the MACD gold cross below the zero line, the histogram shrank, and bullish momentum is rapidly diminishing; RSI has turned downward, and the rebound lacks sustained momentum, failing to form a reversal signal.

On the macro level, the Fed's rate cut expectations continue to cool down, the high-interest-rate environment suppresses risk assets, market risk aversion sentiment rises, and incremental funds are insufficient, so the bearish logic remains unchanged.

In execution, prioritize buying on the rebound near 1710, with the target below at 1650#Strategy低位加仓1550枚BTC $BTC $ETH