#比特币回升5%

I believe that the current rebound is mainly driven by short-term emotional correction, but a break above the $65,000 resistance level is needed to confirm a mid-term trend reversal. However, if we extend the time frame, the current price is at a historical low for Bitcoin, which presents a good bottom-fishing entry opportunity for long-term investors.

1️⃣ Can this rebound of BTC continue? Where is the next key resistance level?‌

Analysis of rebound sustainability:

Short-term support factors:

Digesting non-farm data: The US May non-farm employment data exceeding expectations has gradually eased fears of rate hikes, market sentiment has improved, and Bitcoin has rebounded.

Technical rebound demand: Bitcoin previously experienced a large decline, oversold signals (such as RSI approaching 30) triggered some funds to buy the dip, driving the price back up.

Mainstream coin linkage: ETH, SOL, and others rose simultaneously, indicating an overall market risk appetite recovery, forming a short-term resonance effect.

Potential risk factors:

Macroeconomic uncertainty: If this week’s US CPI data exceeds expectations, it could reignite rate hike fears, suppressing risk assets.

Geopolitical risks: Escalation of Middle East tensions (such as Israel-Iran conflicts) could push oil prices higher, increase inflation pressure, and indirectly impact safe-haven assets like Bitcoin.

Technical pressure: Bitcoin needs to break through key resistance levels to confirm rebound sustainability; otherwise, it may return to a range of oscillation.

Analysis of key resistance levels:

Short-term resistance: 64,000−65,000 (24-hour high + psychological barrier)

If broken, the rebound target can be moved up to 68,000−70,000 (previous high concentration area).

Medium-term resistance: 72,000−75,000 (200-day moving average + historical chip concentration area)

If it stabilizes in this range, Bitcoin may regain upward momentum and challenge historical highs; otherwise, watch out for a double bottom risk.

2️⃣ Facing current market volatility, recent trading and layout suggestions:

Short-term traders:

Strategy: Sell high and buy low, trade within the range

Buy-in points: 60,000−62,000 (support level + near previous low)

Sell points: 64,000−65,000 (resistance level + 24-hour high)

Stop-loss: If it falls below $59,000 (integer level + psychological support), strict stop-loss is required to control risk.

Medium- to long-term investors:

Strategy: Gradually build positions, focus on core assets

DCA range: 60,000−63,000 (buy in batches near current price)

Target price: 75,000−80,000 (bullish towards historical highs in the medium to long term)

Risk control: Keep total position below 30% to avoid overexposure to a single asset.