#TradFi交易分享挑战


The US debt crisis, yen rate hikes, RMB breaking 7—Next week's Forex market outlook
Next week's important event calendar
Monday 5/26 US stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korea closed ⭐
Tuesday 5/27 US ADP employment, Consumer Confidence Index ⭐⭐ Wednesday 5/28 New Zealand Reserve Bank decision, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda speech, Chinese large enterprise profits ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Thursday 5/29 US Core PCE, Durable Goods Orders, ECB meeting minutes, Federal Reserve Chair Williams speech ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Friday 5/30 Tokyo CPI, German and French CPI, Bank of England Governor Bailey speech, Federal Reserve Board Member Bostic speech ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Next week's market outlook
Comprehensive analysis
Monetary policy landscape reshaping: The Federal Reserve led by Kevin Warsh will enter a new cycle of "regulation and prudence." The June FOMC meeting (June 16-17) will be his first time chairing the policy meeting, with markets highly focused on changes in the "dot plot" and language adjustments in the policy statement.
Three core variables:
1. Sticky inflation: Energy prices + AI investment boom pushing up costs, making short-term inflation difficult to quickly decline
2. Divergence in central bank policies: Fed maintaining high interest rates, potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, ECB remaining on hold
3. Geopolitical risks: Ongoing Middle East tensions, risk aversion supporting the US dollar
Risk warnings
⚠️ High-risk events:
If Fed officials' speeches signal unexpected rate hikes, it could trigger sharp market volatility
The June rate hike decision by the Bank of Japan, if as expected, may trigger rapid yen appreciation
Escalation of Middle East geopolitical conflicts could push energy prices higher and intensify global inflation pressures
Strategy suggestions
DXY oscillates with a bullish bias, focus on resistance at 99.50-100, mainly look for long entries on pullbacks
EURUSD biased bearish, attempt light short positions if rebounding above 1.09
GBPUSD biased bearish, watch support at 1.25, short on rallies
USDJPY high-level oscillation in the 158-160 range, beware of Bank of Japan rate hike expectations
USDCNY dual-direction volatility in the 6.95-7.10 range, monitor domestic economic data
This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice! $USDJPY
ADP2.36%
GBPUSD0.06%
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Ryakpanda
#TradFi交易分享挑战
The US debt crisis has collapsed, the yen is set to raise interest rates, and the RMB has broken 7—Full Outlook for the Forex Market Next Week

Important Event Calendar for Next Week
Monday 5/26 U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks, South Korea closed ⭐
Tuesday 5/27 U.S. ADP employment, Consumer Confidence Index ⭐⭐
Wednesday 5/28 Reserve Bank of New Zealand decision, Bank of Japan Governor Ueda speech, profits of large-scale Chinese enterprises ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Thursday 5/29 U.S. Core PCE, Durable Goods Orders, ECB meeting minutes, Federal Reserve Chair Williams speech ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
Friday 5/30 Tokyo CPI, German and French CPI, Bank of England Governor Bailey speech, Federal Reserve Board Member Bowman speech ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Market Outlook for Next Week
Comprehensive Analysis
Monetary Policy Reshaping: The Federal Reserve led by Kevin Waugh will enter a new cycle of "rule-based and cautious" policy. The June FOMC meeting (June 16-17) will be his first time chairing the policy meeting, with markets highly focused on changes in the "dot plot" and wording adjustments in the policy statement.
Three core variables:
1. Sticky inflation: Energy prices + AI investment boom pushing up costs, making short-term inflation difficult to quickly decline
2. Divergence in central bank policies: The Fed maintaining high interest rates, potential rate hikes by the Bank of Japan, and the ECB remaining on hold
3. Geopolitical risks: Ongoing escalation of Middle East tensions, supporting safe-haven demand for the dollar

Risk Alerts
⚠️ High-risk events:
If Federal Reserve officials signal unexpected rate hikes in their speeches, it could trigger sharp market volatility
The June rate hike decision by the Bank of Japan, if implemented as expected, could trigger rapid yen appreciation
Escalation of Middle East conflicts may push energy prices higher and intensify global inflation pressures

Strategy Recommendations
DXY oscillates with a bias to the upside, watch resistance at 99.50-100, mainly look for long positions on dips
EURUSD bears prefer short positions, can attempt light short positions if it rebounds above 1.09
GBPUSD bears focus on support at 1.25, short on rallies
USDJPY high-level oscillation in the 158-160 range, beware of Bank of Japan rate hike expectations
USDCNY fluctuates bidirectionally in the 6.95-7.10 range, monitor domestic economic data

This report is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice! $USDJPY ‌ ‌
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HighAmbition
· 2m ago
To The Moon 🌕
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Ryakpanda
· 26m ago
Steadfast HODL💎
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Ryakpanda
· 27m ago
Buy the dip and enter the market 😎
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Ryakpanda
· 27m ago
Hop on now!🚗
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Ryakpanda
· 27m ago
Just charge forward 👊
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ShizukaKazu
· 1h ago
Hop on now!🚗
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ShizukaKazu
· 1h ago
Just charge forward 👊
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