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๐ ๐๐ ๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐๐๐๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ โ ๏ธ
Markets were expecting a strong bullish reaction after the Kevin Warsh narrative started building...
But $BTC barely reacted.
Fresh CME probabilities are now showing a different story:
๐ถ 42.5% probability for rates at 3.75โ4.00%
๐ถ 32.1% probability for no change
๐ถ Higher-rate scenarios are still being priced in
๐ถ Traders are even assigning odds to a possible 25 bps hike later in the cycle
Why this matters:
๐ Higher rates = tighter liquidity
๐ Tighter liquidity = pressure on risk assets
๐ Risk assets include $BTC and altcoins
The market often moves on expectations before reality arrives.
๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ฒ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐๐ ๐ฉ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ถ๐ฐ๐:
The immediate reaction suggests crypto traders are becoming more cautious about aggressive easing narratives. If liquidity expectations weaken, volatility could increase and risk assets may struggle to sustain momentum.
DYOR ๐ฅ
#DailyPolymarketHotspot