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Will the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?
The probability of "Yes" options increases by 25.0 percentage points in one day.

MeNews
According to ME News on April 18th (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the event of "Can the United States and Iran reach a permanent peace agreement before April 22, 2026?", the trading probability of the "Yes" option increased from 14.5% to 39.5%, a single-day rise of 25.0 percentage points.
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TokenTinkerTao
· 4h ago
Permanent peace agreement? It seems there haven't been many truly permanent ones in history.
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GateUser-e623ef4b
· 10h ago
39.5% is still too low; things in the Middle East are not that easy.
View OriginalReply0
ThereIsAChainInTheReflection.
· 10h ago
It feels like someone knew the progress of the negotiations in advance.
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StakingSparrow
· 10h ago
From 14.5 to 39.5, the amount of funds isn't small, right?
View OriginalReply0
ExitLiquidityStan
· 10h ago
That jump was a bit sharp, is there some insider information?
View OriginalReply0
SilverCubeInsomnia
· 10h ago
25 percentage points a day—what are the whales on Polymarket betting on again?
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GateUser-b665e41c
· 10h ago
April 22, 2026, that deadline is set quite specifically
View OriginalReply0
L2Mailman
· 10h ago
Predictive markets are half a beat ahead of news; this data is worth a close look.
View OriginalReply0

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