The United States and Iran may reach a permanent peace agreement before 2026.

According to ME News on May 24 (UTC+8), forecast market data shows that in the judgment regarding "The United States and Iran reaching a permanent peace agreement before May 26, 2026," the probability of the "Yes" option has increased from 8.5% to 63.0%, a daily rise of 54.5 percentage points.
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GateUser-44dde53b
· 7h ago
8.5% to 63%? What's the inside information?
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StardustUnderTheGlassDome
· 9h ago
The prediction market is now faster than the news.
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GweiGossip
· 12h ago
The Middle East situation changes daily
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QuietQuants
· 12h ago
Is this long-tail prediction sufficient for liquidity?
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On-ChainNightSecurityGuard
· 13h ago
I still think 63% is too optimistic.
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GateUser-ced0257a
· 13h ago
If the peace agreement is truly signed, the odds are a huge profit.
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SudoSatoshi
· 13h ago
The risk of single-sided betting is not small.
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GateUser-8e84d799
· 13h ago
Is it already so certain about what will happen in 2026?
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Stop-LossIsLikeAConfession
· 13h ago
This fluctuation is too crazy, doubling seven times in a day.
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