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Rebalancing is the key word, but who can say who is fastest.
Most respondents expect a persistent risk premium of $5-15 per barrel over the next few years, with fewer than 20 expecting it to exceed $20.
Geopolitical risks are seen as a persistent factor, but not a long-term price reset; supply and demand will gradually rebalance.
Demand destruction is the main mechanism to hedge against supply gaps, followed by trade flow adjustments, OPEC+ policies, and strategic reserve releases.
Most expect global supply disruptions to be between 3 to 7 million barrels per day, with very few exceeding 10 million barrels.