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May 19th Putin's visit to China, this is what I believe to be an important opportunity that could determine the US-Iran negotiations, but whether this opportunity will lead Iran to take a hardline stance or to negotiations, I am truly uncertain.
On the eve of Putin's visit to China, the Kremlin sent signals that this visit will be a serious and cautious state visit, coinciding with Trump's recent visit to China, making the timing even more sensitive.
Currently, media reports indicate that China and Russia will sign a "highest-level joint statement" and 40 related important documents, which will mean a deep institutional binding between China and Russia.
Regarding foreign policy, China faces not only discussions on the Iran situation but also attitudes toward Russia and Ukraine, as well as in-depth discussions on the Asia-Pacific situation and the global situation.
Returning to the US-Iran Middle East issue, the biggest uncertainty after China and Russia reach an agreement is whether to support Iran's hardline stance, whether to contain the US strategic focus in the Middle East region, or to choose to intervene in the US-Iran war, with China and Russia acting as mediators.
Two directions, two perspectives, lead to different outcomes: supporting Iran may hinder the progress of the second round of US-Iran negotiations, causing the US to become strategically trapped in Middle Eastern geopolitical issues. The other option is to promote rapid US-Iran talks and achieve peace in the Middle East as soon as possible.
However, for Russia, the prerequisite for helping mediate remains the US abandoning support for Ukraine. On the other hand, it can be anticipated that whether supporting Iran's resistance or promoting negotiations, the primary condition for China and Russia is to restore the operation of the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible.
Therefore, this visit by Putin to China, more precisely, is an important turning point regarding the Strait of Hormuz issue and crude oil prices. As for whether the complete peace between the US and Iran will head toward optimism, I cannot be certain! #印度警告预测市场平台 $LAB $BILL