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When I started analyzing charts, one of the most common formations I encountered was the ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is really interesting because it shows both support and resistance movements at the same time.
You know, what happens in this formation? The price repeatedly touches the resistance level, but each time this resistance weakens a little more. At the same time, the lows are gradually rising. This dual movement indicates that the market is preparing for an upward breakout.
The strength of the ascending triangle pattern lies exactly here. The more often resistance is tested, the closer it gets to breaking. The support side, on the other hand, finds strength higher up each time. This combination increases the credibility of the formation.
The target price calculation is also quite simple. It is expected to rise by the distance between the horizontal resistance band and the rising trend line. When the breakout occurs, it is quite likely to see these levels.
However, there is one point I need to pay attention to here. Although the ascending triangle pattern is a reliable tool, it doesn't always work as expected. Fake breakouts can happen, traps can be set. Patterns are successful about 60-65% of the time on average. So, trusting it 100% would be a mistake.
That's why, when using formations, we should also consider other factors. Volume, other technical indicators, market conditions... The ascending triangle pattern alone is not enough. As a trader, I have learned that always managing risks and gathering data from multiple sources is essential.