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July CPI Came in as Expected, Probability of a September Rate Hike Fell to 38.1%: How Will Bitcoin, Gold, and U.S. Stocks Perform?

On August 12, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics released the July inflation data that markets had been eagerly awaiting. Headline CPI rose 3.4% year over year, while core CPI fell to 2.5% year over year, with both figures matching expectations. After the data was released, crypto assets, gold, and U.S. stock futures all showed choppy short-term moves, initially falling before rebounding. However, the latest pricing in the interest rate market delivered the signal that truly deserves attention.
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XAUUSD0.58%
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GateInstantTrends·08-12 13:49
July CPI Came in as Expected, Probability of a September Rate Hike Fell to 38.1%: How Will Bitcoin, Gold, and U.S. Stocks Perform?

Gate will launch 9 USD1 Perpetual Futures markets on August 13, with 0% Maker fees and 25% off for Takers.

Gate News reports that, according to Gate’s official announcement on August 13, 2026, Gate will launch nine USD1 perpetual contract markets at 14:00 (UTC+8) on August 13, 2026, including BTC/USD1, ETH/USD1, SOL/USD1, XAU/USD1, SPCX/USD1, SNDK/USD1, MU/USD1, SKHYNIX/USD1, and XAG/USD1. At the same time, Gate is launching a trading fee discount campaign for USD1 futures trading pairs. VIP 0–VIP 16 users trading any USD1-margined perpetual contract will pay zero maker fees and receive a 75% discoun
USD10.04%
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GateNews·08-12 10:38
Gate will launch 9 USD1 Perpetual Futures markets on August 13, with 0% Maker fees and 25% off for Takers.

Hormuz Strait Talks Deadlocked: How Will Surging Oil Prices Impact U.S. Stocks and Bitcoin’s “Digital Gold” Narrative?

The Strait of Hormuz, the world’s most important energy transportation chokepoint, has once again become the center of a storm in global financial markets. On Monday, U.S.-Iran negotiations over reopening the strait reached an impasse after the Trump administration demanded compensation from Iran. International oil prices then skyrocketed, with WTI 原油 rising 4.16% to $81.71 per barrel, according to Gate market data, while 布伦特原油 broke above $86.80 per barrel, marking four consecutive gains. {curr
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GateInstantTrends·08-11 03:01
Hormuz Strait Talks Deadlocked: How Will Surging Oil Prices Impact U.S. Stocks and Bitcoin’s “Digital Gold” Narrative?

Interim Strait of Hormuz Agreement Reached as NFP Data Looms: How Will the Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin Markets Reprice?

On August 7, 2026, Beijing time, financial markets are simultaneously at the intersection of two major variables. The first variable comes from the U.S. labor market. The July NFP employment data due to be released tonight, Beijing time, is widely regarded by the market as a key basis for assessing the Federal Reserve’s next policy path—whether the U.S. economy is continuing to cool, whether the Fed has room to cut rates, and whether dollar liquidity will improve will all be reflected in the dat
XTIUSD1.41%
XBRUSD1.74%
XAUUSD0.58%
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GateInstantTrends·08-07 01:39
Interim Strait of Hormuz Agreement Reached as NFP Data Looms: How Will the Oil, Gold, and Bitcoin Markets Reprice?

July NFP Preview: How Will a Halving of ADP Employment Affect the US Dollar, US Treasuries, Gold, and Bitcoin?

On August 5 Beijing time, as the U.S. July ADP employment report was released, the labor market sent an unexpectedly weak signal, once again disrupting global financial markets’ pricing of the Fed’s policy path. As the “gold standard” for gauging the health of the U.S. economy, NFP data is not only a short-term catalyst for U.S. Treasury and dollar movements but also a key variable determining the direction of global risk-asset valuations. Against the backdrop of the ongoing debate within the Fe
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GateInstantTrends·08-06 08:06
July NFP Preview: How Will a Halving of ADP Employment Affect the US Dollar, US Treasuries, Gold, and Bitcoin?

US-Iran talks signal easing tensions: oil prices fall, gold rises—can Bitcoin rebound?

On August 5, 2026, the situation in the Strait of Hormuz reached a key turning point. According to the Associated Press, two Gulf officials said that Iranian and Omani negotiators had finalized a draft agreement concerning the Strait of Hormuz and were awaiting final approval from Iran’s supreme leader. Meanwhile, the U.S. Treasury removed some Iran-related sanctions from its website. A Treasury official told Fox News: “This does not represent any change in U.S. policy toward the Iranian governm
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GateInstantTrends·08-05 15:18
US-Iran talks signal easing tensions: oil prices fall, gold rises—can Bitcoin rebound?

Aug. market key week: How will NFP, the AI earnings season, and SpaceX’s massive unlock affect Bitcoin and U.S. stocks?

On Aug. 3 Beijing time, international oil prices opened sharply lower. Brent crude’s maximum drop reached 7.3%, falling to $81.55 per barrel; WTI crude fell below $80 per barrel, at one point dipping to $78.78 per barrel, down 6.83%. As of press time, the decline in international oil prices narrowed. According to Gate market data, Brent crude was trading at $83.70 per barrel, while WTI crude was at $79.85 per barrel. The dramatic swings in oil prices were driven by an abrupt turn in the geopolit
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GateInstantTrends·08-03 10:19
gate

Gate ranks sixth globally by AUM, with a reserve coverage ratio of 117%, consistently exceeding the safety benchmark.

Gate News reports that, according to an announcement on Gate’s platform, Gate ranks sixth globally among CEXs by AUM. It currently serves more than 58 million users worldwide, supports over 4,900 digital assets, and offers trading in more than 12,500 stocks and ETFs. It operates across multiple sectors, including spot trading, futures, Earn, stocks, and tokenized assets. The platform has built 24-hour trading services covering the three core markets of U.S. stocks, Hong Kong stocks, and South Ko
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GateNews·08-03 08:10
Gate ranks sixth globally by AUM, with a reserve coverage ratio of 117%, consistently exceeding the safety benchmark.

Gate Event Contracts Rewards Week Officially Kicks Off with Loss Coverage for Newcomers’ First Order and Up to 60,000 USDT in Check-In Competition Rewards

Gate News: The platform has launched Event Contracts Benefits Week, running from August 3, 2026, at 12:00 to August 10, 2026, at 08:00 (UTC+8). During the event, users can enjoy four special benefits: first-trade loss coverage for new users, the Beginner Check-In Competition, the Advanced Check-In Competition, and the Peak Trading Competition. Event Contracts are trading products focused on predicting price direction, allowing users to forecast BTC and ETH price movements over periods such as th
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GateNews·08-03 03:29
Gate Event Contracts Rewards Week Officially Kicks Off with Loss Coverage for Newcomers’ First Order and Up to 60,000 USDT in Check-In Competition Rewards

Brent crude oil jumped 7.91% in a single day: How the escalation of fighting in the Middle East could spark energy-inflation trades and reshape global asset pricing?

As of July 30, 2026, according to Gate market data, Brent crude oil is at $88.69 per barrel, up 4.95% over the past 24 hours; WTI crude oil is at $85.09 per barrel, up 3.88%. Just one trading day earlier (July 29), Brent crude surged 7.91% at the close, finishing at $90.74 per barrel—one of the most aggressive single-day gains since the latest escalation of the Iran–U.S. conflict. On the same day, the Dow Jones Industrial Average plummeted by 1,153.18 points, down 2.19%, marking the largest sing
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XTIUSD1.41%
XBRUSD1.74%
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GateInstantTrends·07-30 06:51
Brent crude oil jumped 7.91% in a single day: How the escalation of fighting in the Middle East could spark energy-inflation trades and reshape global asset pricing?

The Fed holds steady for the fifth consecutive time, with a 9–3 vote—what signal does it send? How will the BTC and gold markets react?

In Beijing time in the early hours of July 30, the U.S. Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released its latest interest rate decision, keeping the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged at 3.50% to 3.75%. This marked the Fed’s fifth consecutive meeting since January this year in holding policy steady. However, the real focus for the market is not the “no rate hike” itself. After the decision was released, Bitcoin surged from about $63,700 to near the $64,700 intrad
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GateInstantTrends·07-30 03:14
The Fed holds steady for the fifth consecutive time, with a 9–3 vote—what signal does it send? How will the BTC and gold markets react?

FED FOMC decision countdown in July: Why markets are betting on a “hawkish pause”? Bonds, oil prices, and Bitcoin face a key test

At 12:00 a.m. on July 30 (Beijing time), the Fed will release its July FOMC meeting decision. This will be the second FOMC meeting since Fed Chair Kevin Wosch took office, and it may well be the most difficult to predict in recent years. The CME FedWatch tool shows that, as of July 29, the probability that the market is pricing in the Fed keeping the policy rate unchanged in the 3.50% to 3.75% range is 70.6%, and the probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike is 29.4%. This probability structure
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GateInstantTrends·07-29 09:08
FED FOMC decision countdown in July: Why markets are betting on a “hawkish pause”? Bonds, oil prices, and Bitcoin face a key test

Ahead of the July FOMC meeting: the probability of a Fed rate hike rises to 31.5%—how will Bitcoin, gold, and the U.S. dollar respond?

The Fed will release its July interest rate decision at 12:00 a.m. Beijing time on July 30. This was widely seen by the market as a “transitional meeting”—a policy window between the June pause and the expected action in September. However, a series of events over the past three weeks has completely changed the tone of the meeting. As of July 27, the CME FedWatch tool shows that the market is pricing a 68.5% probability that rates will be kept unchanged in July, while the probability of a 25 bps
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XTIUSD1.41%
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GateInstantTrends·07-27 09:38
Ahead of the July FOMC meeting: the probability of a Fed rate hike rises to 31.5%—how will Bitcoin, gold, and the U.S. dollar respond?

Oil prices break past $100, U.S. Treasury yields rise to 4.7%: Why is the likelihood of another Fed rate hike in July picking up again?

On July 23, the global asset pricing system underwent a sharp repricing. The Brent crude oil futures Settlement Price closed at $100.69 per barrel, up 7.04% on the day, and for the second time in many days it returned above the $100 level. At the same time, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury intraday broke through 4.7%, reaching the highest level since January 2025. The DXY rose in tandem, closing at 101.445, up 0.32%. The simultaneous
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XBRUSD1.74%
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GateInstantTrends·07-24 02:02
Oil prices break past $100, U.S. Treasury yields rise to 4.7%: Why is the likelihood of another Fed rate hike in July picking up again?

Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, oil prices hit a six-week high: How do crude oil gains affect gold, the US dollar, stocks, and Bitcoin?

On July 23, 2026, global capital markets saw a geopolitical-driven repricing reshuffle. Last night and this morning, the US-Iran conflict showed no signs of cooling. Both sides issued hardline statements, stressing their respective conflict bottom lines. Trump posted on social media, saying that every time Iran fires at ships in the Strait of Hormuz, the US would bomb and destroy an Iranian bridge or power plant, including facilities located within Tehran and its surrounding areas. Trump also sa
XTIUSD1.41%
XBRUSD1.74%
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BTC0.14%
GateInstantTrends·07-23 02:02
Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz escalate, oil prices hit a six-week high: How do crude oil gains affect gold, the US dollar, stocks, and Bitcoin?

Oil Prices Break Above $90, Fed Rate Hike Odds Surge: How Will Escalation in the Iran-Iraq Conflict Impact the Crypto Market?

On July 20, international energy markets saw a landmark moment. Brent crude futures surged through the $90-per-barrel mark in one move, topping out at $91.42 during the day; WTI crude futures also climbed into the $84 range. This breakout level is not coincidental—over the past week, Brent crude has risen 15.9% in total, posting the largest single-week gain since April; from the early-July low near $71, the rebound is already close to 30%. {currencycard:tradfi}(XTIUS
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GateInstantTrends·07-20 07:00
Oil Prices Break Above $90, Fed Rate Hike Odds Surge: How Will Escalation in the Iran-Iraq Conflict Impact the Crypto Market?

CLARITY Act Hearing Lands on Wall Street: A Key Turning Point for Crypto Regulation—Shifting from “Enforcement-Driven” to “Rule-Driven”?

On July 17, 2026, the Digital Assets Subcommittee of the U.S. House Committee on Financial Services held an in-person hearing at Federal Hall on Wall Street in New York, themed “Building the Financial Future: How the CLARITY Act Will Unleash Innovation.” Federal Hall is only a few steps from the New York Stock Exchange—rather than meeting on Capitol Hill in Washington, the committee moved the hearing to Wall Street, and that choice alone is a kind of statement. This is not routine policy discuss
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GateInstantTrends·07-17 09:27
CLARITY Act Hearing Lands on Wall Street: A Key Turning Point for Crypto Regulation—Shifting from “Enforcement-Driven” to “Rule-Driven”?

Gate Launchpool is launching Solstice (SLX) for Round 366, where staking BTC, ETH, or SLX lets users share in a pool of 2 million SLX airdrop

Gate News: According to an official Gate announcement, Gate Launchpool will launch its 366th Launchpool: Solstice (SLX). Users can stake BTC, ETH, and SLX to freely share 2,000,000 SLX tokens, with airdrop rewards credited automatically every hour. The mining period runs from 2026-07-16 20:00 to 2026-08-06 20:00 (UTC+8), with 100% unlocked. This round of Launchpool includes three staking pools: staking BTC can earn 900,000 SLX, staking ETH can earn 700,000 SLX, and staking SLX can earn 400,000 S
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GateNews·07-16 08:03
Gate Launchpool is launching Solstice (SLX) for Round 366, where staking BTC, ETH, or SLX lets users share in a pool of 2 million SLX airdrop