According to CME Federal Reserve Watch, as of August 14, the probability of the Federal Reserve holding rates steady in September stands at 65.2%, with a 34.8% probability of a 25 basis point rate increase. For October, the probability of holding rates unchanged is 50.1%, while a 25 basis point increase has a 41.8% probability and a 50 basis point cumulative increase carries an 8.1% probability.
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